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A long-run convergence analysis of aerosol precursors, reactive gases, and aerosols in the BRICS and Indonesia: is a global emissions abatement agenda supported?

This article examines the hypothesis of deterministic emissions convergence for a panel of the BRICS and Indonesia to advanced countries’ emissions levels as well as to Sweden (which is a country that has clearly gone through decoupling) using a novel dataset with ten series of annual estimates of a...

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Autores principales: Romero-Ávila, Diego, Omay, Tolga
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer Berlin Heidelberg 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9908704/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36173517
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11356-022-22988-9
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author Romero-Ávila, Diego
Omay, Tolga
author_facet Romero-Ávila, Diego
Omay, Tolga
author_sort Romero-Ávila, Diego
collection PubMed
description This article examines the hypothesis of deterministic emissions convergence for a panel of the BRICS and Indonesia to advanced countries’ emissions levels as well as to Sweden (which is a country that has clearly gone through decoupling) using a novel dataset with ten series of annual estimates of anthropogenic emissions comprising aerosols, aerosol precursor and reactive compounds, and carbon dioxide from 1820 to 2018. For that purpose, we employ four novel panel unit root tests allowing for several forms of time-dependent and state-dependent nonlinearity. The evidence supports deterministic convergence following a linear process for carbon dioxide, whereas the adjustment is asymmetric and nonlinear for carbon monoxide. Methane and nitrogen oxides exhibit logistic smooth transition converging dynamics. In contrast, black carbon, ammonia, nitrous oxide, non-methane volatile organic compounds, organic carbon, and sulfur dioxide emissions diverge. These results have implications for the abatement of greenhouse gases emissions at the global level, given the high share of emissions of the BRICS. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11356-022-22988-9.
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spelling pubmed-99087042023-02-10 A long-run convergence analysis of aerosol precursors, reactive gases, and aerosols in the BRICS and Indonesia: is a global emissions abatement agenda supported? Romero-Ávila, Diego Omay, Tolga Environ Sci Pollut Res Int Research Article This article examines the hypothesis of deterministic emissions convergence for a panel of the BRICS and Indonesia to advanced countries’ emissions levels as well as to Sweden (which is a country that has clearly gone through decoupling) using a novel dataset with ten series of annual estimates of anthropogenic emissions comprising aerosols, aerosol precursor and reactive compounds, and carbon dioxide from 1820 to 2018. For that purpose, we employ four novel panel unit root tests allowing for several forms of time-dependent and state-dependent nonlinearity. The evidence supports deterministic convergence following a linear process for carbon dioxide, whereas the adjustment is asymmetric and nonlinear for carbon monoxide. Methane and nitrogen oxides exhibit logistic smooth transition converging dynamics. In contrast, black carbon, ammonia, nitrous oxide, non-methane volatile organic compounds, organic carbon, and sulfur dioxide emissions diverge. These results have implications for the abatement of greenhouse gases emissions at the global level, given the high share of emissions of the BRICS. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11356-022-22988-9. Springer Berlin Heidelberg 2022-09-29 2023 /pmc/articles/PMC9908704/ /pubmed/36173517 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11356-022-22988-9 Text en © The Author(s) 2022 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open AccessThis article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) .
spellingShingle Research Article
Romero-Ávila, Diego
Omay, Tolga
A long-run convergence analysis of aerosol precursors, reactive gases, and aerosols in the BRICS and Indonesia: is a global emissions abatement agenda supported?
title A long-run convergence analysis of aerosol precursors, reactive gases, and aerosols in the BRICS and Indonesia: is a global emissions abatement agenda supported?
title_full A long-run convergence analysis of aerosol precursors, reactive gases, and aerosols in the BRICS and Indonesia: is a global emissions abatement agenda supported?
title_fullStr A long-run convergence analysis of aerosol precursors, reactive gases, and aerosols in the BRICS and Indonesia: is a global emissions abatement agenda supported?
title_full_unstemmed A long-run convergence analysis of aerosol precursors, reactive gases, and aerosols in the BRICS and Indonesia: is a global emissions abatement agenda supported?
title_short A long-run convergence analysis of aerosol precursors, reactive gases, and aerosols in the BRICS and Indonesia: is a global emissions abatement agenda supported?
title_sort long-run convergence analysis of aerosol precursors, reactive gases, and aerosols in the brics and indonesia: is a global emissions abatement agenda supported?
topic Research Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9908704/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36173517
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11356-022-22988-9
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