Cargando…

Possible Effects of Climate Change on the Occurrence and Distribution of the Rare Moss Buxbaumia viridis in Serbia (SE Europe)

The distribution range and occurrence of the rare and threatened epixylic moss Buxbaumia viridis have been reviewed in Serbia. Climatic conditions of its recent distribution in Serbia were involved in species distribution modeling and analyzed with the aim of obtaining a projection of unknown potent...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Pantović, Jovana P., Božović, Djordje P., Sabovljević, Marko S.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: MDPI 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9921671/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36771640
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/plants12030557
_version_ 1784887367586283520
author Pantović, Jovana P.
Božović, Djordje P.
Sabovljević, Marko S.
author_facet Pantović, Jovana P.
Božović, Djordje P.
Sabovljević, Marko S.
author_sort Pantović, Jovana P.
collection PubMed
description The distribution range and occurrence of the rare and threatened epixylic moss Buxbaumia viridis have been reviewed in Serbia. Climatic conditions of its recent distribution in Serbia were involved in species distribution modeling and analyzed with the aim of obtaining a projection of unknown potential sites and future scenarios of its distribution dynamics. The results achieved suggest potential distribution range of the species will be significantly reduced. According to the climate change models, the habitat changes including the range loss of this species are predicted to be drastic, i.e., between 93% and 97% by the year 2050, and between 98% and 99.9% by the year 2070, affecting primarily lower elevations of its current range in Serbia. A major reason for the projected decline of the species is climate change combined with continued poor forest management.
format Online
Article
Text
id pubmed-9921671
institution National Center for Biotechnology Information
language English
publishDate 2023
publisher MDPI
record_format MEDLINE/PubMed
spelling pubmed-99216712023-02-12 Possible Effects of Climate Change on the Occurrence and Distribution of the Rare Moss Buxbaumia viridis in Serbia (SE Europe) Pantović, Jovana P. Božović, Djordje P. Sabovljević, Marko S. Plants (Basel) Article The distribution range and occurrence of the rare and threatened epixylic moss Buxbaumia viridis have been reviewed in Serbia. Climatic conditions of its recent distribution in Serbia were involved in species distribution modeling and analyzed with the aim of obtaining a projection of unknown potential sites and future scenarios of its distribution dynamics. The results achieved suggest potential distribution range of the species will be significantly reduced. According to the climate change models, the habitat changes including the range loss of this species are predicted to be drastic, i.e., between 93% and 97% by the year 2050, and between 98% and 99.9% by the year 2070, affecting primarily lower elevations of its current range in Serbia. A major reason for the projected decline of the species is climate change combined with continued poor forest management. MDPI 2023-01-26 /pmc/articles/PMC9921671/ /pubmed/36771640 http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/plants12030557 Text en © 2023 by the authors. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
spellingShingle Article
Pantović, Jovana P.
Božović, Djordje P.
Sabovljević, Marko S.
Possible Effects of Climate Change on the Occurrence and Distribution of the Rare Moss Buxbaumia viridis in Serbia (SE Europe)
title Possible Effects of Climate Change on the Occurrence and Distribution of the Rare Moss Buxbaumia viridis in Serbia (SE Europe)
title_full Possible Effects of Climate Change on the Occurrence and Distribution of the Rare Moss Buxbaumia viridis in Serbia (SE Europe)
title_fullStr Possible Effects of Climate Change on the Occurrence and Distribution of the Rare Moss Buxbaumia viridis in Serbia (SE Europe)
title_full_unstemmed Possible Effects of Climate Change on the Occurrence and Distribution of the Rare Moss Buxbaumia viridis in Serbia (SE Europe)
title_short Possible Effects of Climate Change on the Occurrence and Distribution of the Rare Moss Buxbaumia viridis in Serbia (SE Europe)
title_sort possible effects of climate change on the occurrence and distribution of the rare moss buxbaumia viridis in serbia (se europe)
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9921671/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36771640
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/plants12030557
work_keys_str_mv AT pantovicjovanap possibleeffectsofclimatechangeontheoccurrenceanddistributionoftheraremossbuxbaumiaviridisinserbiaseeurope
AT bozovicdjordjep possibleeffectsofclimatechangeontheoccurrenceanddistributionoftheraremossbuxbaumiaviridisinserbiaseeurope
AT sabovljevicmarkos possibleeffectsofclimatechangeontheoccurrenceanddistributionoftheraremossbuxbaumiaviridisinserbiaseeurope