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Modeling and multi-objective optimal control of reaction-diffusion COVID-19 system due to vaccination and patient isolation

In this paper, a reaction-diffusion COVID-19 model is proposed to explore how vaccination-isolation strategies affect the development of the epidemic. First, the basic dynamical properties of the system are explored. Then, the system’s asymptotic distributions of endemic equilibrium under different...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Tu, Yunbo, Hayat, Tasawar, Hobiny, Aatef, Meng, Xinzhu
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Elsevier Inc. 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9922554/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36818395
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.apm.2023.02.002
Descripción
Sumario:In this paper, a reaction-diffusion COVID-19 model is proposed to explore how vaccination-isolation strategies affect the development of the epidemic. First, the basic dynamical properties of the system are explored. Then, the system’s asymptotic distributions of endemic equilibrium under different conditions are studied. Further, the global sensitivity analysis of [Formula: see text] is implemented with the aim of determining the sensitivity for these parameters. In addition, the optimal vaccination-isolation strategy based on the optimal path is proposed. Meantime, social cost [Formula: see text] , social benefit [Formula: see text] , threshold [Formula: see text] three objective optimization problem based on vaccination-isolation strategy is explored, and the maximum social cost [Formula: see text] and maximum social benefit [Formula: see text] are obtained. Finally, the instance prediction of the Lhasa epidemic in China on August 7, 2022, is made by using the piecewise infection rates [Formula: see text] , [Formula: see text] , and some key indicators are obtained as follows: (1) The basic reproduction numbers of each stage in Lhasa, China are [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text]; (2) The daily new cases of this epidemic will peak at 43 on the 20th day (August 26, 2022); (3) The cumulative cases in Lhasa, China will reach about 640 and be cleared about the 80th day (October 28, 2022). Our research will contribute to winning the war on epidemic prevention and control.