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Modeling and multi-objective optimal control of reaction-diffusion COVID-19 system due to vaccination and patient isolation

In this paper, a reaction-diffusion COVID-19 model is proposed to explore how vaccination-isolation strategies affect the development of the epidemic. First, the basic dynamical properties of the system are explored. Then, the system’s asymptotic distributions of endemic equilibrium under different...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Tu, Yunbo, Hayat, Tasawar, Hobiny, Aatef, Meng, Xinzhu
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Elsevier Inc. 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9922554/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36818395
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.apm.2023.02.002
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author Tu, Yunbo
Hayat, Tasawar
Hobiny, Aatef
Meng, Xinzhu
author_facet Tu, Yunbo
Hayat, Tasawar
Hobiny, Aatef
Meng, Xinzhu
author_sort Tu, Yunbo
collection PubMed
description In this paper, a reaction-diffusion COVID-19 model is proposed to explore how vaccination-isolation strategies affect the development of the epidemic. First, the basic dynamical properties of the system are explored. Then, the system’s asymptotic distributions of endemic equilibrium under different conditions are studied. Further, the global sensitivity analysis of [Formula: see text] is implemented with the aim of determining the sensitivity for these parameters. In addition, the optimal vaccination-isolation strategy based on the optimal path is proposed. Meantime, social cost [Formula: see text] , social benefit [Formula: see text] , threshold [Formula: see text] three objective optimization problem based on vaccination-isolation strategy is explored, and the maximum social cost [Formula: see text] and maximum social benefit [Formula: see text] are obtained. Finally, the instance prediction of the Lhasa epidemic in China on August 7, 2022, is made by using the piecewise infection rates [Formula: see text] , [Formula: see text] , and some key indicators are obtained as follows: (1) The basic reproduction numbers of each stage in Lhasa, China are [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text]; (2) The daily new cases of this epidemic will peak at 43 on the 20th day (August 26, 2022); (3) The cumulative cases in Lhasa, China will reach about 640 and be cleared about the 80th day (October 28, 2022). Our research will contribute to winning the war on epidemic prevention and control.
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spelling pubmed-99225542023-02-13 Modeling and multi-objective optimal control of reaction-diffusion COVID-19 system due to vaccination and patient isolation Tu, Yunbo Hayat, Tasawar Hobiny, Aatef Meng, Xinzhu Appl Math Model Article In this paper, a reaction-diffusion COVID-19 model is proposed to explore how vaccination-isolation strategies affect the development of the epidemic. First, the basic dynamical properties of the system are explored. Then, the system’s asymptotic distributions of endemic equilibrium under different conditions are studied. Further, the global sensitivity analysis of [Formula: see text] is implemented with the aim of determining the sensitivity for these parameters. In addition, the optimal vaccination-isolation strategy based on the optimal path is proposed. Meantime, social cost [Formula: see text] , social benefit [Formula: see text] , threshold [Formula: see text] three objective optimization problem based on vaccination-isolation strategy is explored, and the maximum social cost [Formula: see text] and maximum social benefit [Formula: see text] are obtained. Finally, the instance prediction of the Lhasa epidemic in China on August 7, 2022, is made by using the piecewise infection rates [Formula: see text] , [Formula: see text] , and some key indicators are obtained as follows: (1) The basic reproduction numbers of each stage in Lhasa, China are [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text]; (2) The daily new cases of this epidemic will peak at 43 on the 20th day (August 26, 2022); (3) The cumulative cases in Lhasa, China will reach about 640 and be cleared about the 80th day (October 28, 2022). Our research will contribute to winning the war on epidemic prevention and control. Elsevier Inc. 2023-06 2023-02-09 /pmc/articles/PMC9922554/ /pubmed/36818395 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.apm.2023.02.002 Text en © 2023 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active.
spellingShingle Article
Tu, Yunbo
Hayat, Tasawar
Hobiny, Aatef
Meng, Xinzhu
Modeling and multi-objective optimal control of reaction-diffusion COVID-19 system due to vaccination and patient isolation
title Modeling and multi-objective optimal control of reaction-diffusion COVID-19 system due to vaccination and patient isolation
title_full Modeling and multi-objective optimal control of reaction-diffusion COVID-19 system due to vaccination and patient isolation
title_fullStr Modeling and multi-objective optimal control of reaction-diffusion COVID-19 system due to vaccination and patient isolation
title_full_unstemmed Modeling and multi-objective optimal control of reaction-diffusion COVID-19 system due to vaccination and patient isolation
title_short Modeling and multi-objective optimal control of reaction-diffusion COVID-19 system due to vaccination and patient isolation
title_sort modeling and multi-objective optimal control of reaction-diffusion covid-19 system due to vaccination and patient isolation
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9922554/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36818395
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.apm.2023.02.002
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