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Analysis and numerical simulation of temperature measurements made on earth and from space

The sum of all currently known facts confirms the existence of a global warming process. The development models of this process are statistical in nature and often do not take into account the specifics of local conditions. This fact confirms our analysis of measurements of the average annual surfac...

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Autores principales: Volvach, Alexandr, Kurbasova, Galina, Volvach, Larisa
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Elsevier 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9922927/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36793961
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e12999
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author Volvach, Alexandr
Kurbasova, Galina
Volvach, Larisa
author_facet Volvach, Alexandr
Kurbasova, Galina
Volvach, Larisa
author_sort Volvach, Alexandr
collection PubMed
description The sum of all currently known facts confirms the existence of a global warming process. The development models of this process are statistical in nature and often do not take into account the specifics of local conditions. This fact confirms our analysis of measurements of the average annual surface air temperature during the period 1980–2019 in the city of Krasnodar (Russia). We used data from ground based (World Data Center) and space based (POWER project) measurements. A comparison of the data showed that the discrepancies in ground and space based measurements of surface air temperatures until 1990 do not exceed the data error ([Formula: see text] °C). After 1990, the most significant short-term discrepancies were observed in 2014 (−1.12°С) and 2016 (1.33°С). An analysis of the forecast model of the Earth's surface air average annual temperature for 1918–2020 indicates a gradual decrease in the average annual temperature even in the presence of short-term impulses of its increase. The rate of decrease in the average annual temperature from ground based observations is slightly higher than from space based observations, which is probably due to a more complete consideration of local conditions in ground based observations.
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spelling pubmed-99229272023-02-14 Analysis and numerical simulation of temperature measurements made on earth and from space Volvach, Alexandr Kurbasova, Galina Volvach, Larisa Heliyon Research Article The sum of all currently known facts confirms the existence of a global warming process. The development models of this process are statistical in nature and often do not take into account the specifics of local conditions. This fact confirms our analysis of measurements of the average annual surface air temperature during the period 1980–2019 in the city of Krasnodar (Russia). We used data from ground based (World Data Center) and space based (POWER project) measurements. A comparison of the data showed that the discrepancies in ground and space based measurements of surface air temperatures until 1990 do not exceed the data error ([Formula: see text] °C). After 1990, the most significant short-term discrepancies were observed in 2014 (−1.12°С) and 2016 (1.33°С). An analysis of the forecast model of the Earth's surface air average annual temperature for 1918–2020 indicates a gradual decrease in the average annual temperature even in the presence of short-term impulses of its increase. The rate of decrease in the average annual temperature from ground based observations is slightly higher than from space based observations, which is probably due to a more complete consideration of local conditions in ground based observations. Elsevier 2023-01-24 /pmc/articles/PMC9922927/ /pubmed/36793961 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e12999 Text en © 2023 The Authors https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
spellingShingle Research Article
Volvach, Alexandr
Kurbasova, Galina
Volvach, Larisa
Analysis and numerical simulation of temperature measurements made on earth and from space
title Analysis and numerical simulation of temperature measurements made on earth and from space
title_full Analysis and numerical simulation of temperature measurements made on earth and from space
title_fullStr Analysis and numerical simulation of temperature measurements made on earth and from space
title_full_unstemmed Analysis and numerical simulation of temperature measurements made on earth and from space
title_short Analysis and numerical simulation of temperature measurements made on earth and from space
title_sort analysis and numerical simulation of temperature measurements made on earth and from space
topic Research Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9922927/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36793961
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e12999
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