Evaluating Histological Subtypes Classification of Primary Lung Cancers on Unenhanced Computed Tomography Based on Random Forest Model

Lung cancer is the leading cause of cancer-related death in many countries, and an accurate histopathological diagnosis is of great importance in subsequent treatment. The aim of this study was to establish the random forest (RF) model based on radiomic features to automatically classify and predict lung adenocarcinoma (ADC), lung squamous cell carcinoma (SCC), and small cell lung cancer (SCLC) on unenhanced computed tomography (CT) images. Eight hundred and fifty-two patients (mean age: 61.4, range: 29–87, male/female: 536/316) with preoperative unenhanced CT and postoperative histopathologically confirmed primary lung cancers, including 525 patients with ADC, 161 patients with SCC, and 166 patients with SCLC, were included in this retrospective study. Radiomic features were extracted, selected, and then used to establish the RF classification model to analyse and classify primary lung cancers into three subtypes, including ADC, SCC, and SCLC according to histopathological results. The training (446 ADC, 137 SCC, and 141 SCLC) and testing cohorts (79 ADC, 24 SCC, and 25 SCLC) accounted for 85% and 15% of the whole datasets, respectively. The prediction performance of the RF classification model was evaluated by F1 scores and the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. On the testing cohort, the areas under the ROC curve (AUC) of the RF model in classifying ADC, SCC, and SCLC were 0.74, 0.77, and 0.88, respectively. The F1 scores achieved 0.80, 0.40, and 0.73 in ADC, SCC, and SCLC, respectively, and the weighted average F1 score was 0.71. In addition, for the RF classification model, the precisions were 0.72, 0.64, and 0.70; the recalls were 0.86, 0.29, and 0.76; and the specificities were 0.55, 0.96, and 0.92 in ADC, SCC, and SCLC. The primary lung cancers were feasibly and effectively classified into ADC, SCC, and SCLC based on the combination of RF classification model and radiomic features, which has the potential for noninvasive predicting histological subtypes of primary lung cancers.