Developing a deep learning model to predict epilepsy recurrence in patients with focal cortical dysplasia type III

BACKGROUND: A sizable number of patients with focal cortical dysplasia (FCD) type III-related refractory epilepsy continue to experience seizures postsurgically. Deep learning models can automatically assess complex medical image characteristics and predict prognosis with higher efficiency. This study sought to determine whether T2-weighted fluid attenuated inversion recovery (T2W FLAIR) images could predict prognosis of FCD type III-related refractory epilepsy using a deep learning approach. METHODS: Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) images of 266 patients with FCD type III diagnosed between 2015 and 2019 were included in this retrospective analysis. A deep learning algorithm utilizing a convolutional neural network (CNN) was trained to classify T2W FLAIR images according to Engel’s classification. The preprocessed original image and the region of interest (ROI) outlined by clinicians were input into our neural network separately and then together. Precision, sensitivity, specificity, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, and areas under the ROC curves (AUCs) were computed as part of the statistical analyses of the network performance with varied inputs of the network model assessed. RESULTS: The overall performance met the following metrics when the original image only was input: AUC of 96.22%, sensitivity of 84.47%, and specificity of 97.21%. The metrics were as follows when the ROI only was input: area under the ROC curve of 94.76%, sensitivity of 84.92%, and specificity of 96.24%. For the combined inputs, the metrics were as follows: AUC of 97.17%, sensitivity of 90.86%, and specificity of 96.63%. CONCLUSIONS: Deep learning used with conventional MRI can effectively predict the recurrence conditions of epilepsy. Artificial intelligence may help the design of clinical management and enable more precise and individualized prediction for postsurgical prognosis of FCD type III-related refractory epilepsy.