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Climate change maladaptation for health: Agricultural practice against shifting seasonal rainfall affects snakebite risk for farmers in the tropics
Snakebite affects more than 1.8 million people annually. Factors explaining snakebite variability include farmers’ behaviors, snake ecology and climate. One unstudied issue is how farmers’ adaptation to novel climates affect their health. Here we examined potential impacts of adaptation on snakebite...
Autores principales: | , , , , , , , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Elsevier
2023
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9932500/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36818294 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.isci.2023.105946 |
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author | Goldstein, Eyal Erinjery, Joseph J. Martin, Gerardo Kasturiratne, Anuradhani Ediriweera, Dileepa Senajith Somaweera, Ruchira de Silva, Hithanadura Janaka Diggle, Peter Lalloo, David G. Murray, Kris A. Iwamura, Takuya |
author_facet | Goldstein, Eyal Erinjery, Joseph J. Martin, Gerardo Kasturiratne, Anuradhani Ediriweera, Dileepa Senajith Somaweera, Ruchira de Silva, Hithanadura Janaka Diggle, Peter Lalloo, David G. Murray, Kris A. Iwamura, Takuya |
author_sort | Goldstein, Eyal |
collection | PubMed |
description | Snakebite affects more than 1.8 million people annually. Factors explaining snakebite variability include farmers’ behaviors, snake ecology and climate. One unstudied issue is how farmers’ adaptation to novel climates affect their health. Here we examined potential impacts of adaptation on snakebite using individual-based simulations, focusing on strategies meant to counteract major crop yield decline because of changing rainfall in Sri Lanka. For rubber cropping, adaptation led to a 33% increase in snakebite incidence per farmer work hour because of work during risky months, but a 17% decrease in total annual snakebites because of decreased labor in plantations overall. Rice farming adaptation decreased snakebites by 16%, because of shifting labor towards safer months, whereas tea adaptation led to a general increase. These results indicate that adaptation could have both a positive and negative effect, potentially intensified by ENSO. Our research highlights the need for assessing adaptation strategies for potential health maladaptations. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-9932500 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2023 |
publisher | Elsevier |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-99325002023-02-17 Climate change maladaptation for health: Agricultural practice against shifting seasonal rainfall affects snakebite risk for farmers in the tropics Goldstein, Eyal Erinjery, Joseph J. Martin, Gerardo Kasturiratne, Anuradhani Ediriweera, Dileepa Senajith Somaweera, Ruchira de Silva, Hithanadura Janaka Diggle, Peter Lalloo, David G. Murray, Kris A. Iwamura, Takuya iScience Article Snakebite affects more than 1.8 million people annually. Factors explaining snakebite variability include farmers’ behaviors, snake ecology and climate. One unstudied issue is how farmers’ adaptation to novel climates affect their health. Here we examined potential impacts of adaptation on snakebite using individual-based simulations, focusing on strategies meant to counteract major crop yield decline because of changing rainfall in Sri Lanka. For rubber cropping, adaptation led to a 33% increase in snakebite incidence per farmer work hour because of work during risky months, but a 17% decrease in total annual snakebites because of decreased labor in plantations overall. Rice farming adaptation decreased snakebites by 16%, because of shifting labor towards safer months, whereas tea adaptation led to a general increase. These results indicate that adaptation could have both a positive and negative effect, potentially intensified by ENSO. Our research highlights the need for assessing adaptation strategies for potential health maladaptations. Elsevier 2023-01-07 /pmc/articles/PMC9932500/ /pubmed/36818294 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.isci.2023.105946 Text en © 2023 The Authors. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). |
spellingShingle | Article Goldstein, Eyal Erinjery, Joseph J. Martin, Gerardo Kasturiratne, Anuradhani Ediriweera, Dileepa Senajith Somaweera, Ruchira de Silva, Hithanadura Janaka Diggle, Peter Lalloo, David G. Murray, Kris A. Iwamura, Takuya Climate change maladaptation for health: Agricultural practice against shifting seasonal rainfall affects snakebite risk for farmers in the tropics |
title | Climate change maladaptation for health: Agricultural practice against shifting seasonal rainfall affects snakebite risk for farmers in the tropics |
title_full | Climate change maladaptation for health: Agricultural practice against shifting seasonal rainfall affects snakebite risk for farmers in the tropics |
title_fullStr | Climate change maladaptation for health: Agricultural practice against shifting seasonal rainfall affects snakebite risk for farmers in the tropics |
title_full_unstemmed | Climate change maladaptation for health: Agricultural practice against shifting seasonal rainfall affects snakebite risk for farmers in the tropics |
title_short | Climate change maladaptation for health: Agricultural practice against shifting seasonal rainfall affects snakebite risk for farmers in the tropics |
title_sort | climate change maladaptation for health: agricultural practice against shifting seasonal rainfall affects snakebite risk for farmers in the tropics |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9932500/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36818294 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.isci.2023.105946 |
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