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Seasonal variations in acute diverticular disease hospitalisations in New Zealand

PURPOSE: Seasonal variation of acute diverticular disease is variably reported in observational studies. This study aimed to describe seasonal variation of acute diverticular disease hospital admissions in New Zealand. METHODS: A time series analysis of national diverticular disease hospitalisations...

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Autores principales: Varghese, Chris, Wu, Zhenqiang, Bissett, Ian P., Connolly, Martin J., Broad, Joanna B.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer Berlin Heidelberg 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9935723/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36795135
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00384-023-04338-4
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author Varghese, Chris
Wu, Zhenqiang
Bissett, Ian P.
Connolly, Martin J.
Broad, Joanna B.
author_facet Varghese, Chris
Wu, Zhenqiang
Bissett, Ian P.
Connolly, Martin J.
Broad, Joanna B.
author_sort Varghese, Chris
collection PubMed
description PURPOSE: Seasonal variation of acute diverticular disease is variably reported in observational studies. This study aimed to describe seasonal variation of acute diverticular disease hospital admissions in New Zealand. METHODS: A time series analysis of national diverticular disease hospitalisations from 2000 to 2015 was conducted among adults aged 30 years or over. Monthly counts of acute hospitalisations’ primary diagnosis of diverticular disease were decomposed using Census X-11 times series methods. A combined test for the presence of identifiable seasonality was used to determine if overall seasonality was present; thereafter, annual seasonal amplitude was calculated. The mean seasonal amplitude of demographic groups was compared by analysis of variance. RESULTS: Over the 16-year period, 35,582 hospital admissions with acute diverticular disease were included. Seasonality in monthly acute diverticular disease admissions was identified. The mean monthly seasonal component of acute diverticular disease admissions peaked in early-autumn (March) and troughed in early-spring (September). The mean annual seasonal amplitude was 23%, suggesting on average 23% higher acute diverticular disease hospitalisations during early-autumn (March) than in early-spring (September). The results were similar in sensitivity analyses that employed different definitions of diverticular disease. Seasonal variation was less pronounced in patients aged over 80 (p = 0.002). Seasonal variation was significantly greater among Māori than Europeans (p < 0.001) and in more southern regions (p < 0.001). However, seasonal variations were not significantly different by gender. CONCLUSIONS: Acute diverticular disease admissions in New Zealand exhibit seasonal variation with a peak in Autumn (March) and a trough in Spring (September). Significant seasonal variations are associated with ethnicity, age, and region, but not with gender. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00384-023-04338-4.
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spelling pubmed-99357232023-02-18 Seasonal variations in acute diverticular disease hospitalisations in New Zealand Varghese, Chris Wu, Zhenqiang Bissett, Ian P. Connolly, Martin J. Broad, Joanna B. Int J Colorectal Dis Research PURPOSE: Seasonal variation of acute diverticular disease is variably reported in observational studies. This study aimed to describe seasonal variation of acute diverticular disease hospital admissions in New Zealand. METHODS: A time series analysis of national diverticular disease hospitalisations from 2000 to 2015 was conducted among adults aged 30 years or over. Monthly counts of acute hospitalisations’ primary diagnosis of diverticular disease were decomposed using Census X-11 times series methods. A combined test for the presence of identifiable seasonality was used to determine if overall seasonality was present; thereafter, annual seasonal amplitude was calculated. The mean seasonal amplitude of demographic groups was compared by analysis of variance. RESULTS: Over the 16-year period, 35,582 hospital admissions with acute diverticular disease were included. Seasonality in monthly acute diverticular disease admissions was identified. The mean monthly seasonal component of acute diverticular disease admissions peaked in early-autumn (March) and troughed in early-spring (September). The mean annual seasonal amplitude was 23%, suggesting on average 23% higher acute diverticular disease hospitalisations during early-autumn (March) than in early-spring (September). The results were similar in sensitivity analyses that employed different definitions of diverticular disease. Seasonal variation was less pronounced in patients aged over 80 (p = 0.002). Seasonal variation was significantly greater among Māori than Europeans (p < 0.001) and in more southern regions (p < 0.001). However, seasonal variations were not significantly different by gender. CONCLUSIONS: Acute diverticular disease admissions in New Zealand exhibit seasonal variation with a peak in Autumn (March) and a trough in Spring (September). Significant seasonal variations are associated with ethnicity, age, and region, but not with gender. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00384-023-04338-4. Springer Berlin Heidelberg 2023-02-16 2023 /pmc/articles/PMC9935723/ /pubmed/36795135 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00384-023-04338-4 Text en © The Author(s) 2023 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open AccessThis article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) .
spellingShingle Research
Varghese, Chris
Wu, Zhenqiang
Bissett, Ian P.
Connolly, Martin J.
Broad, Joanna B.
Seasonal variations in acute diverticular disease hospitalisations in New Zealand
title Seasonal variations in acute diverticular disease hospitalisations in New Zealand
title_full Seasonal variations in acute diverticular disease hospitalisations in New Zealand
title_fullStr Seasonal variations in acute diverticular disease hospitalisations in New Zealand
title_full_unstemmed Seasonal variations in acute diverticular disease hospitalisations in New Zealand
title_short Seasonal variations in acute diverticular disease hospitalisations in New Zealand
title_sort seasonal variations in acute diverticular disease hospitalisations in new zealand
topic Research
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9935723/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36795135
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00384-023-04338-4
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