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Three-decade assessment of dry and wet spells change across Iran, a fingerprint of climate change
Extended periods of hydro-climate extremes with excessive or scarce rainfall associated with high or low temperatures have resulted in an imbalanced water cycle and inefficient socio-economic systems in several regions of Iran. However, there is a lack of comprehensive investigations on short-term t...
Autores principales: | , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Nature Publishing Group UK
2023
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9938875/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36801933 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-30040-0 |
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author | Motamedi, Armita Gohari, Alireza Haghighi, Ali Torabi |
author_facet | Motamedi, Armita Gohari, Alireza Haghighi, Ali Torabi |
author_sort | Motamedi, Armita |
collection | PubMed |
description | Extended periods of hydro-climate extremes with excessive or scarce rainfall associated with high or low temperatures have resulted in an imbalanced water cycle and inefficient socio-economic systems in several regions of Iran. However, there is a lack of comprehensive investigations on short-term to long-term variations in timing, duration, and temperature of wet/dry spells. This study bridges the current gap through a comprehensive statistical analysis of historical climatic data (1959–2018). Results indicated that the negative tendency of the accumulated rainfall (− 0.16/ − 0.35 mm/year during the past 60/30 years) in 2- to 6-day wet spells had made significant contributions to the ongoing downward trend in annual rainfall (− 0.5/ − 1.5 mm/year during the past 60/30 years) owing to a warmer climate condition. Warmer wet spells are likely responsible for precipitation patterns changes in snow-dominated stations since their wet spells temperature has more than threefold growth with increasing distance to coasts. The most detected trends in climatic patterns have started in the last two decades and become more severe from 2009 to 2018. Our results confirm the alteration of precipitation features across Iran due to anthropogenic climatic change, and suggest expected increase in air temperature would likely result in further dry and warm conditions over the coming decades. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-9938875 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2023 |
publisher | Nature Publishing Group UK |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-99388752023-02-20 Three-decade assessment of dry and wet spells change across Iran, a fingerprint of climate change Motamedi, Armita Gohari, Alireza Haghighi, Ali Torabi Sci Rep Article Extended periods of hydro-climate extremes with excessive or scarce rainfall associated with high or low temperatures have resulted in an imbalanced water cycle and inefficient socio-economic systems in several regions of Iran. However, there is a lack of comprehensive investigations on short-term to long-term variations in timing, duration, and temperature of wet/dry spells. This study bridges the current gap through a comprehensive statistical analysis of historical climatic data (1959–2018). Results indicated that the negative tendency of the accumulated rainfall (− 0.16/ − 0.35 mm/year during the past 60/30 years) in 2- to 6-day wet spells had made significant contributions to the ongoing downward trend in annual rainfall (− 0.5/ − 1.5 mm/year during the past 60/30 years) owing to a warmer climate condition. Warmer wet spells are likely responsible for precipitation patterns changes in snow-dominated stations since their wet spells temperature has more than threefold growth with increasing distance to coasts. The most detected trends in climatic patterns have started in the last two decades and become more severe from 2009 to 2018. Our results confirm the alteration of precipitation features across Iran due to anthropogenic climatic change, and suggest expected increase in air temperature would likely result in further dry and warm conditions over the coming decades. Nature Publishing Group UK 2023-02-18 /pmc/articles/PMC9938875/ /pubmed/36801933 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-30040-0 Text en © The Author(s) 2023 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) . |
spellingShingle | Article Motamedi, Armita Gohari, Alireza Haghighi, Ali Torabi Three-decade assessment of dry and wet spells change across Iran, a fingerprint of climate change |
title | Three-decade assessment of dry and wet spells change across Iran, a fingerprint of climate change |
title_full | Three-decade assessment of dry and wet spells change across Iran, a fingerprint of climate change |
title_fullStr | Three-decade assessment of dry and wet spells change across Iran, a fingerprint of climate change |
title_full_unstemmed | Three-decade assessment of dry and wet spells change across Iran, a fingerprint of climate change |
title_short | Three-decade assessment of dry and wet spells change across Iran, a fingerprint of climate change |
title_sort | three-decade assessment of dry and wet spells change across iran, a fingerprint of climate change |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9938875/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36801933 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-30040-0 |
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