Cargando…

Three-decade assessment of dry and wet spells change across Iran, a fingerprint of climate change

Extended periods of hydro-climate extremes with excessive or scarce rainfall associated with high or low temperatures have resulted in an imbalanced water cycle and inefficient socio-economic systems in several regions of Iran. However, there is a lack of comprehensive investigations on short-term t...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Motamedi, Armita, Gohari, Alireza, Haghighi, Ali Torabi
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group UK 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9938875/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36801933
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-30040-0
_version_ 1784890726443646976
author Motamedi, Armita
Gohari, Alireza
Haghighi, Ali Torabi
author_facet Motamedi, Armita
Gohari, Alireza
Haghighi, Ali Torabi
author_sort Motamedi, Armita
collection PubMed
description Extended periods of hydro-climate extremes with excessive or scarce rainfall associated with high or low temperatures have resulted in an imbalanced water cycle and inefficient socio-economic systems in several regions of Iran. However, there is a lack of comprehensive investigations on short-term to long-term variations in timing, duration, and temperature of wet/dry spells. This study bridges the current gap through a comprehensive statistical analysis of historical climatic data (1959–2018). Results indicated that the negative tendency of the accumulated rainfall (− 0.16/ − 0.35 mm/year during the past 60/30 years) in 2- to 6-day wet spells had made significant contributions to the ongoing downward trend in annual rainfall (− 0.5/ − 1.5 mm/year during the past 60/30 years) owing to a warmer climate condition. Warmer wet spells are likely responsible for precipitation patterns changes in snow-dominated stations since their wet spells temperature has more than threefold growth with increasing distance to coasts. The most detected trends in climatic patterns have started in the last two decades and become more severe from 2009 to 2018. Our results confirm the alteration of precipitation features across Iran due to anthropogenic climatic change, and suggest expected increase in air temperature would likely result in further dry and warm conditions over the coming decades.
format Online
Article
Text
id pubmed-9938875
institution National Center for Biotechnology Information
language English
publishDate 2023
publisher Nature Publishing Group UK
record_format MEDLINE/PubMed
spelling pubmed-99388752023-02-20 Three-decade assessment of dry and wet spells change across Iran, a fingerprint of climate change Motamedi, Armita Gohari, Alireza Haghighi, Ali Torabi Sci Rep Article Extended periods of hydro-climate extremes with excessive or scarce rainfall associated with high or low temperatures have resulted in an imbalanced water cycle and inefficient socio-economic systems in several regions of Iran. However, there is a lack of comprehensive investigations on short-term to long-term variations in timing, duration, and temperature of wet/dry spells. This study bridges the current gap through a comprehensive statistical analysis of historical climatic data (1959–2018). Results indicated that the negative tendency of the accumulated rainfall (− 0.16/ − 0.35 mm/year during the past 60/30 years) in 2- to 6-day wet spells had made significant contributions to the ongoing downward trend in annual rainfall (− 0.5/ − 1.5 mm/year during the past 60/30 years) owing to a warmer climate condition. Warmer wet spells are likely responsible for precipitation patterns changes in snow-dominated stations since their wet spells temperature has more than threefold growth with increasing distance to coasts. The most detected trends in climatic patterns have started in the last two decades and become more severe from 2009 to 2018. Our results confirm the alteration of precipitation features across Iran due to anthropogenic climatic change, and suggest expected increase in air temperature would likely result in further dry and warm conditions over the coming decades. Nature Publishing Group UK 2023-02-18 /pmc/articles/PMC9938875/ /pubmed/36801933 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-30040-0 Text en © The Author(s) 2023 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) .
spellingShingle Article
Motamedi, Armita
Gohari, Alireza
Haghighi, Ali Torabi
Three-decade assessment of dry and wet spells change across Iran, a fingerprint of climate change
title Three-decade assessment of dry and wet spells change across Iran, a fingerprint of climate change
title_full Three-decade assessment of dry and wet spells change across Iran, a fingerprint of climate change
title_fullStr Three-decade assessment of dry and wet spells change across Iran, a fingerprint of climate change
title_full_unstemmed Three-decade assessment of dry and wet spells change across Iran, a fingerprint of climate change
title_short Three-decade assessment of dry and wet spells change across Iran, a fingerprint of climate change
title_sort three-decade assessment of dry and wet spells change across iran, a fingerprint of climate change
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9938875/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36801933
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-30040-0
work_keys_str_mv AT motamediarmita threedecadeassessmentofdryandwetspellschangeacrossiranafingerprintofclimatechange
AT goharialireza threedecadeassessmentofdryandwetspellschangeacrossiranafingerprintofclimatechange
AT haghighialitorabi threedecadeassessmentofdryandwetspellschangeacrossiranafingerprintofclimatechange