Research on sustainable development evaluation and improvement path of resource-based cities based on coupling of emergy and system dynamics
The evaluation of the sustainable development of resource-based cities is still one of the hotspots in today’s social research. Taking Jining, Shandong Province, as the research object, this work combines a relevant emergy evaluation index system with system dynamics, establishes a resource-based ci...
Autores principales: | , , , , , , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
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Springer Netherlands
2023
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9940083/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36846352 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10668-023-02946-2 |
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author | Ma, Haichao Wang, Qingsong Zhang, Yujie Hussain, Muhammad Bilal Xu, Yue Tian, Shu Yuan, Xueliang Ma, Qiao Yuan, Renxiao Jia, Yanshuang |
author_facet | Ma, Haichao Wang, Qingsong Zhang, Yujie Hussain, Muhammad Bilal Xu, Yue Tian, Shu Yuan, Xueliang Ma, Qiao Yuan, Renxiao Jia, Yanshuang |
author_sort | Ma, Haichao |
collection | PubMed |
description | The evaluation of the sustainable development of resource-based cities is still one of the hotspots in today’s social research. Taking Jining, Shandong Province, as the research object, this work combines a relevant emergy evaluation index system with system dynamics, establishes a resource-based city emergy flow system dynamics model, and studies sustainable development path in the next planning year. In the work, the key factors affecting the sustainable development of Jining are obtained through the coupling of regression and SD sensitivity analysis, and some scenarios are set up by combining them with the local 14th Five-year plan. Besides, the appropriate scenario (M–L–H–H) for Jining's future sustainable development is chosen in accordance with regional circumstances. That is, during the 14th Five-year Plan period, the appropriate development ranges for the growth rate of social fixed assets investment, the growth rate of raw coal emergy, the growth rate of grain emergy and the reduction rate of solid waste emergy are 17.5–18.3%, − 4.0 to − 3.2%, 1.8–2.6% and 4–4.8%. The methodology system constructed in this article can serve as a reference for similar studies, and the research findings can aid the government in formulating pertinent plans for resource-based cities. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-9940083 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2023 |
publisher | Springer Netherlands |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-99400832023-02-21 Research on sustainable development evaluation and improvement path of resource-based cities based on coupling of emergy and system dynamics Ma, Haichao Wang, Qingsong Zhang, Yujie Hussain, Muhammad Bilal Xu, Yue Tian, Shu Yuan, Xueliang Ma, Qiao Yuan, Renxiao Jia, Yanshuang Environ Dev Sustain Article The evaluation of the sustainable development of resource-based cities is still one of the hotspots in today’s social research. Taking Jining, Shandong Province, as the research object, this work combines a relevant emergy evaluation index system with system dynamics, establishes a resource-based city emergy flow system dynamics model, and studies sustainable development path in the next planning year. In the work, the key factors affecting the sustainable development of Jining are obtained through the coupling of regression and SD sensitivity analysis, and some scenarios are set up by combining them with the local 14th Five-year plan. Besides, the appropriate scenario (M–L–H–H) for Jining's future sustainable development is chosen in accordance with regional circumstances. That is, during the 14th Five-year Plan period, the appropriate development ranges for the growth rate of social fixed assets investment, the growth rate of raw coal emergy, the growth rate of grain emergy and the reduction rate of solid waste emergy are 17.5–18.3%, − 4.0 to − 3.2%, 1.8–2.6% and 4–4.8%. The methodology system constructed in this article can serve as a reference for similar studies, and the research findings can aid the government in formulating pertinent plans for resource-based cities. Springer Netherlands 2023-02-20 /pmc/articles/PMC9940083/ /pubmed/36846352 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10668-023-02946-2 Text en © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature B.V. 2023, Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted research re-use and secondary analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for the duration of the World Health Organization (WHO) declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic. |
spellingShingle | Article Ma, Haichao Wang, Qingsong Zhang, Yujie Hussain, Muhammad Bilal Xu, Yue Tian, Shu Yuan, Xueliang Ma, Qiao Yuan, Renxiao Jia, Yanshuang Research on sustainable development evaluation and improvement path of resource-based cities based on coupling of emergy and system dynamics |
title | Research on sustainable development evaluation and improvement path of resource-based cities based on coupling of emergy and system dynamics |
title_full | Research on sustainable development evaluation and improvement path of resource-based cities based on coupling of emergy and system dynamics |
title_fullStr | Research on sustainable development evaluation and improvement path of resource-based cities based on coupling of emergy and system dynamics |
title_full_unstemmed | Research on sustainable development evaluation and improvement path of resource-based cities based on coupling of emergy and system dynamics |
title_short | Research on sustainable development evaluation and improvement path of resource-based cities based on coupling of emergy and system dynamics |
title_sort | research on sustainable development evaluation and improvement path of resource-based cities based on coupling of emergy and system dynamics |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9940083/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36846352 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10668-023-02946-2 |
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