Etiology, clinical characteristics, and risk factors associated with severe influenza-like illnesses in Mexican adults

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to determine the risk factors associated with severe influenza-like illness (ILI) in Mexican adults that could be useful to clinicians when assessing patients with ILI. METHODS: Data from adult patients enrolled from 2010 through 2014 in ILI002 – a prospective hospital-based observational cohort study – were analyzed. Etiology and clinical characteristics were compared between cases of severe ILI (defined as hospitalization and/or death) and cases of non-severe ILI. RESULTS: Overall, 1428 (39.0%) out of a total 3664 cases of ILI were classified as severe. Adjusted analyses showed a higher risk of severe ILI associated with signs and symptoms related to lower tract infection, i.e. cough with sputum (odds ratio (OR) 2.037, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.206–3.477; P = 0.008), dyspnea (OR 5.044, 95% CI 2.99–8.631; and shortness of breath (OR 5.24, 95% CI 3.0839.124; P < 0.001), and with increases in lactate dehydrogenase (OR 4.426, 95% CI 2.321–8.881; P < 0.001) and C-reactive protein (OR 3.618, 95% CI 2.5955.196; P < 0.001). Further, there was an increased risk of severe ILI with a longer time between symptom onset and inclusion (OR 1.108, 95% CI 1.049–1.172; P < 0.001) and with chronic steroid use (OR 14.324, 95% CI 8.059-26.216; P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Respiratory viruses can cause severe ILI. The results of this study highlight the importance of evaluating data compatible with lower tract involvement and previous use of immunosuppressants at baseline, because patients meeting these conditions may develop severe illness.