Association between endometrial thickness before ovulation, live birth, and placenta previa rates in clomiphene citrate-treated cycles

BACKGROUND: Although a recent study reported that the pregnancy outcomes in the first trimester were more correlated with endometrial thickness on the day of the trigger than with endometrial thickness on the day of single fresh-cleaved embryo transfer, it remains unclear whether endometrial thickness on the day of the trigger can predict live birth rate after a single fresh-cleaved embryo transfer. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to examine whether endometrial thickness on the trigger day is associated with live birth rates and whether modifying the single fresh-cleaved embryo transfer criteria to reflect endometrial thickness on the trigger day improved the live birth rate and reduced maternal complications in a clomiphene citrate–based minimal stimulation cycle. STUDY DESIGN: This was a retrospective study of the outcomes of 4440 treatment cycles of women who underwent single fresh-cleaved embryo transfer on day 2 of the retrieval cycle. From November 2018 to October 2019, single fresh-cleaved embryo transfer was performed when endometrial thickness on the day of single fresh-cleaved embryo transfer was ≥8 mm (criterion A). From November 2019 to August 2020, single fresh-cleaved embryo transfer was conducted when endometrial thickness on the day of the trigger was ≥7 mm (criterion B). RESULTS: A multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that increased endometrial thickness on the trigger day was significantly associated with an improvement in the live birth rate after single fresh-cleaved embryo transfer (adjusted odds ratio, 1.098; 95% confidence interval, 1.021–1.179). The live birth rate was significantly higher in the criterion B group than in the criterion A group (22.9% and 19.1%, respectively; P=.0281). Although endometrial thickness on the day of single fresh-cleaved embryo transfer was sufficient, the live birth rate tended to be lower when endometrial thickness on the trigger day was <7.0 mm than when endometrial thickness on the day of the trigger was ≥7.0 mm. The risk for placenta previa was reduced in the criterion B group when compared with the criterion A group (4.3% and 0.6%, respectively; P=.0222). CONCLUSION: This study demonstrated an association of decreased endometrial thickness on the trigger day with low birth rate and a high incidence of placenta previa. A modification of the criteria for a single fresh-cleaved embryo transfer based on endometrial thickness may improve pregnancy and maternal outcomes.