The predictive value of weight evolution in screening for malnutrition in community-dwelling older persons (70+) in Antwerp

BACKGROUND: Experience and research show that screening for malnutrition in primary care mainly takes place by monitoring the weight parameter and that validated screening instruments are hardly used. In this study we examined the effectiveness and predictive value of weight evolution in screening for (risk of) malnutrition in older people living at home, in comparison with a validated screening tool, namely the Mini Nutritional Assessment Short Form (MNA-SF). METHODS: This project was a prospective, longitudinal study with quantitative data that took place in the province of Antwerp (Belgium) from December 2020 until June 2021. The target group of this study consisted of people over 70 living at home who were visited by a home nurse on a regular basis (at least once a month). The outcome measure was the weight evolution over six months compared with the score on the MNA-SF at month six. Weight was measured and recorded once a month during 6 months. At the last weight measurement, the MNA-SF was administered. In order to assess their own nutritional state, three additional questions were asked after taking the MNA-SF. RESULTS: A total of 143 patients gave consent to participate, of which 89 were women and 54 men. The mean age was 83.7 years (SD6.62) with a range of 70 to 100 years. Based on the MNA-SF score measured after six months, 53.1% (76/143) of participants had a normal nutritional status, 37.8% (54/143) scored risk of malnutrition and 4.9% (7/ 143) was malnourished. In order to detect people with (risk of) malnutrition, a PPV of 78.6%, a NPV of 60.7%, a sensitivity of 19.3% and a specificity of 96.0% were established with a weight evolution of ≥ 5% weight loss at six months. To detect malnutrition, our results showed respectively 33.3%, 98.4%, 71.4% and 92.3%. CONCLUSION: In this study, weight evolution has a low sensitivity in screening for (risk of) malnutrition in people over 70 living at home compared to the MNA-SF. However, in order to detect people with malnutrition, this study demonstrated a sensitivity of 71.4% and a specificity of 92.3% for a weight loss of ≥ 5% at six months. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12875-023-02020-w.