Machine learning segmentation of core and penumbra from acute stroke CT perfusion data

INTRODUCTION: Computed tomography perfusion (CTP) imaging is widely used in cases of suspected acute ischemic stroke to positively identify ischemia and assess suitability for treatment through identification of reversible and irreversible tissue injury. Traditionally, this has been done via setting single perfusion thresholds on two or four CTP parameter maps. We present an alternative model for the estimation of tissue fate using multiple perfusion measures simultaneously. METHODS: We used machine learning (ML) models based on four different algorithms, combining four CTP measures (cerebral blood flow, cerebral blood volume, mean transit time and delay time) plus 3D-neighborhood (patch) analysis to predict the acute ischemic core and perfusion lesion volumes. The model was developed using 86 patient images, and then tested further on 22 images. RESULTS: XGBoost was the highest-performing algorithm. With standard threshold-based core and penumbra measures as the reference, the model demonstrated moderate agreement in segmenting core and penumbra on test images. Dice similarity coefficients for core and penumbra were 0.38 ± 0.26 and 0.50 ± 0.21, respectively, demonstrating moderate agreement. Skull-related image artefacts contributed to lower accuracy. DISCUSSION: Further development may enable us to move beyond the current overly simplistic core and penumbra definitions using single thresholds where a single error or artefact may lead to substantial error.