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1por Yuan, Hsiang-Yu, Baguelin, Marc, Kwok, Kin O., Arinaminpathy, Nimalan, van Leeuwen, Edwin, Riley, Steven“…Overall, our results suggest that stratified immunity in an aged-structured heterogeneous population plays a significant role in determining the shape of influenza epidemics.…”
Publicado 2017
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4por Riley, Steven, Carabin, Hélène, Bélisle, Patrick, Joseph, Lawrence, Tallo, Veronica, Balolong, Ernesto, Willingham, A. Lee, Fernandez, Tomas J, Gonzales, Ryan O'Neal, Olveda, Remigio, McGarvey, Stephen T“…Here, we characterize the transmission dynamics of S. japonicum using data from an extensive field study and a mathematical transmission model. …”
Publicado 2008
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5“…Our work provides a general model for quantifying aspects of influenza immunity acting at multiple timescales based on contemporary serological data and suggests a two-armed immune response to influenza infection consistent with competitive dynamics between B cell populations. This approach to analysing multiple timescales for antigenic responses could also be applied to other multistrain pathogens such as dengue and related flaviviruses.…”
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6por Vijaykrishna, Dhanasekaran, Bahl, Justin, Riley, Steven, Duan, Lian, Zhang, Jin Xia, Chen, Honglin, Peiris, J. S. Malik, Smith, Gavin J. D., Guan, Yi“…Here, we apply the latest analytical techniques to infer the early evolutionary dynamics of H5N1 virus in the population from which it emerged (wild birds and domestic poultry). …”
Publicado 2008
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7por Eales, Oliver, de Oliveira Martins, Leonardo, Page, Andrew J., Wang, Haowei, Bodinier, Barbara, Tang, David, Haw, David, Jonnerby, Jakob, Atchison, Christina, Ashby, Deborah, Barclay, Wendy, Taylor, Graham, Cooke, Graham, Ward, Helen, Darzi, Ara, Riley, Steven, Elliott, Paul, Donnelly, Christl A., Chadeau-Hyam, Marc“…With natural and vaccine-induced population immunity at high levels, evolutionary pressure favours variants better able to evade SARS-CoV-2 neutralising antibodies. …”
Publicado 2022
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8por Kucharski, Adam J., Kwok, Kin O., Wei, Vivian W. I., Cowling, Benjamin J., Read, Jonathan M., Lessler, Justin, Cummings, Derek A., Riley, Steven“…Our results suggest it is possible to profile the social structure of different populations and to use these aggregated data to predict their inherent transmission potential.…”
Publicado 2014
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9“…Here, we create large socio-spatial networks to represent contact behavior using human population-density data, a previously developed fitting algorithm, and gravity-like mobility kernels. …”
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10por Kwok, Kin On, Read, Jonathan M., Tang, Arthur, Chen, Hong, Riley, Steven, Kam, Kai Man“…On the other hand, the small population amongst inmates in CFs has no effect on MRSA community transmission. …”
Publicado 2018
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11por Eales, Oliver, Haw, David, Wang, Haowei, Atchison, Christina, Ashby, Deborah, Cooke, Graham S., Barclay, Wendy, Ward, Helen, Darzi, Ara, Donnelly, Christl A., Chadeau-Hyam, Marc, Elliott, Paul, Riley, StevenEnlace del recurso
Publicado 2023
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12por Riley, Pete, Ben-Nun, Michal, Linker, Jon A., Cost, Angelia A., Sanchez, Jose L., George, Dylan, Bacon, David P., Riley, Steven“…Here, we use 50 distinct US military populations during 2009 as a retrospective cohort to test the hypothesis that real-time encounter data combined with disease dynamic models can be used to bridge this uncertainty gap. …”
Publicado 2015
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13por Lessler, Justin, Cummings, Derek A.T., Read, Jonathan M., Wang, Shuying, Zhu, Huachen, Smith, Gavin J.D., Guan, Yi, Jiang, Chao Qiang, Riley, Steven“…It is unclear whether such variation occurs on smaller spatial scales and whether it is the result of heterogeneities in population demographics or more subtle differences in population structure and connectivity. …”
Publicado 2011
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14“…Here, we consider five topics within spatial disease dynamics: the construction of network models; characterising threshold behaviour; modelling long-distance interactions; the appropriate scale for interventions; and the representation of population heterogeneity.…”
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15por Cori, Anne, Donnelly, Christl A., Dorigatti, Ilaria, Ferguson, Neil M., Fraser, Christophe, Garske, Tini, Jombart, Thibaut, Nedjati-Gilani, Gemma, Nouvellet, Pierre, Riley, Steven, Van Kerkhove, Maria D., Mills, Harriet L., Blake, Isobel M.“…To understand the transmission dynamics and potential impact of an outbreak, several types of data are necessary. …”
Publicado 2017
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16por Suwannahitatorn, Picha, Webster, Joanne, Riley, Steven, Mungthin, Mathirut, Donnelly, Christl A.“…We hypothesized that the behavioural-psycho-social background of the study population might play an important role in the high burden of the infection. …”
Publicado 2019
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17por Kucharski, Adam J., Lessler, Justin, Read, Jonathan M., Zhu, Huachen, Jiang, Chao Qiang, Guan, Yi, Cummings, Derek A. T., Riley, Steven“…The immunity of a host population against specific influenza A strains can influence a number of important biological processes, from the emergence of new virus strains to the effectiveness of vaccination programmes. …”
Publicado 2015
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18“…To define appropriate planning scenarios for future pandemics of respiratory pathogens, it is important to understand the initial transmission dynamics of COVID-19 during 2020. Here, we fit an age-stratified compartmental model with a flexible underlying transmission term to daily COVID-19 death data from states in the contiguous U.S. and to national and sub-national data from around the world. …”
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19“…However, current disease-dynamic theory does not provide a clear understanding of the relationship between: epidemic trajectories at the scale of interest (e.g. city); population mobility; and higher resolution spatial effects (e.g. transmission within small neighbourhoods). …”
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20por Kwok, Kin On, Riley, Steven, Perera, Ranawaka A. P. M., Wei, Vivian W. I., Wu, Peng, Wei, Lan, Chu, Daniel K. W., Barr, Ian G., Malik Peiris, J. S., Cowling, Benjamin J.“…While the epidemiological characteristics of the initial wave of pH1N1 have been studied in detail, less is known about its infection dynamics during subsequent waves or its severity relative to sH3N2. …”
Publicado 2017
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