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1por Vrancken, Bram, Rambaut, Andrew, Suchard, Marc A., Drummond, Alexei, Baele, Guy, Derdelinckx, Inge, Van Wijngaerden, Eric, Vandamme, Anne-Mieke, Van Laethem, Kristel, Lemey, Philippe“…To this purpose, we develop a new transmission model in a Bayesian genealogical inference framework and demonstrate how to constrain the viral evolutionary history to be compatible with the transmission history while simultaneously inferring the within-host evolutionary and population dynamics. We show that accommodating a transmission bottleneck affords the best fit our data, but the sparse within-host HIV-1 sampling prevents accurate quantification of the concomitant loss in genetic diversity. …”
Publicado 2014
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2“…Nonparametric coalescent-based models are often employed to infer past population dynamics over time. Several of these models, such as the skyride and skygrid models, are equipped with a block-updating Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling scheme to efficiently estimate model parameters. …”
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3por Raghwani, Jayna, Rose, Rebecca, Sheridan, Isabelle, Lemey, Philippe, Suchard, Marc A., Santantonio, Teresa, Farci, Patrizia, Klenerman, Paul, Pybus, Oliver G.“…Together, our findings demonstrate that HCV replication behavior is complex and likely comprises multiple viral subpopulations with distinct evolutionary dynamics. The presence of a structured viral population can explain apparent paradoxes in chronic HCV infection, such as rapid fluctuations in viral diversity and the reappearance of viral strains years after their initial detection.…”
Publicado 2016
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4por Nelson, Martha I., Lemey, Philippe, Tan, Yi, Vincent, Amy, Lam, Tommy Tsan-Yuk, Detmer, Susan, Viboud, Cécile, Suchard, Marc A., Rambaut, Andrew, Holmes, Edward C., Gramer, MarieEnlace del recurso
Publicado 2011
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5por Karcher, Michael D., Carvalho, Luiz Max, Suchard, Marc A., Dudas, Gytis, Minin, Vladimir N.“…We validate our new modeling framework using a simulation study and apply our new methodology to analyses of population dynamics of seasonal influenza and to the recent Ebola virus outbreak in West Africa.…”
Publicado 2020
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6por Lemey, Philippe, Rambaut, Andrew, Bedford, Trevor, Faria, Nuno, Bielejec, Filip, Baele, Guy, Russell, Colin A., Smith, Derek J., Pybus, Oliver G., Brockmann, Dirk, Suchard, Marc A.“…In conclusion, the global dynamics of influenza viruses are best explained by combining human mobility data with the spatial information inherent in sampled viral genomes. …”
Publicado 2014
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7“…We highlight how a full Bayesian approach to covariate modeling and testing can generate further insights into sequence evolution, trait evolution, and population dynamics in pathogen populations. Specific examples demonstrate how such approaches can be used to test the impact of host on rabies and HIV evolutionary rates, to identify the drivers of influenza dispersal as well as the determinants of rabies cross-species transmissions, and to quantify the evolutionary dynamics of influenza antigenicity. …”
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8“…As a key factor in endemic and epidemic dynamics, the geographical distribution of viruses has been frequently interpreted in the light of their genetic histories. …”
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9por Dellicour, Simon, Lequime, Sebastian, Vrancken, Bram, Gill, Mandev S., Bastide, Paul, Gangavarapu, Karthik, Matteson, Nathaniel L., Tan, Yi, du Plessis, Louis, Fisher, Alexander A., Nelson, Martha I., Gilbert, Marius, Suchard, Marc A., Andersen, Kristian G., Grubaugh, Nathan D., Pybus, Oliver G., Lemey, Philippe“…Computational analyses of pathogen genomes are increasingly used to unravel the dispersal history and transmission dynamics of epidemics. Here, we show how to go beyond historical reconstructions and use spatially-explicit phylogeographic and phylodynamic approaches to formally test epidemiological hypotheses. …”
Publicado 2020
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10por Tian, Jin, Sun, Jiumeng, Li, Dongyan, Wang, Ningning, Wang, Lifang, Zhang, Chang, Meng, Xiaorong, Ji, Xiang, Suchard, Marc A., Zhang, Xu, Lai, Alexander, Su, Shuo, Veit, Michael“…Viral genetics; host factors, including polymorphisms in the receptors; and ecological, environmental, and population dynamics are major parameters to consider. …”
Publicado 2022
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11por Talbi, Chiraz, Lemey, Philippe, Suchard, Marc A., Abdelatif, Elbia, Elharrak, Mehdi, Jalal, Nourlil, Faouzi, Abdellah, Echevarría, Juan E., Vazquez Morón, Sonia, Rambaut, Andrew, Campiz, Nicholas, Tatem, Andrew J., Holmes, Edward C., Bourhy, Hervé“…We used newly developed Bayesian phylogeographic methods to unravel the dynamics and determinants of the spread of dog rabies virus (RABV) in North Africa. …”
Publicado 2010
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12“…To demonstrate how this model can provide critical insights into pathogen evolutionary dynamics, we adopt hierarchical phylogenetic modelling with fixed effects and apply it to two viral examples. …”
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13por McCrone, John T., Hill, Verity, Bajaj, Sumali, Pena, Rosario Evans, Lambert, Ben C., Inward, Rhys, Bhatt, Samir, Volz, Erik, Ruis, Christopher, Dellicour, Simon, Baele, Guy, Zarebski, Alexander E., Sadilek, Adam, Wu, Neo, Schneider, Aaron, Ji, Xiang, Raghwani, Jayna, Jackson, Ben, Colquhoun, Rachel, O’Toole, Áine, Peacock, Thomas P., Twohig, Kate, Thelwall, Simon, Dabrera, Gavin, Myers, Richard, Faria, Nuno R., Huber, Carmen, Bogoch, Isaac I., Khan, Kamran, du Plessis, Louis, Barrett, Jeffrey C., Aanensen, David M., Barclay, Wendy S., Chand, Meera, Connor, Thomas, Loman, Nicholas J., Suchard, Marc A., Pybus, Oliver G., Rambaut, Andrew, Kraemer, Moritz U.G.“…Subsequently, increased levels of local population mixing, not the number of importations, was associated with faster relative growth of Delta. …”
Publicado 2021
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14por McCrone, John T., Hill, Verity, Bajaj, Sumali, Pena, Rosario Evans, Lambert, Ben C., Inward, Rhys, Bhatt, Samir, Volz, Erik, Ruis, Christopher, Dellicour, Simon, Baele, Guy, Zarebski, Alexander E., Sadilek, Adam, Wu, Neo, Schneider, Aaron, Ji, Xiang, Raghwani, Jayna, Jackson, Ben, Colquhoun, Rachel, O’Toole, Áine, Peacock, Thomas P., Twohig, Kate, Thelwall, Simon, Dabrera, Gavin, Myers, Richard, Faria, Nuno R., Huber, Carmen, Bogoch, Isaac I., Khan, Kamran, du Plessis, Louis, Barrett, Jeffrey C., Aanensen, David M., Barclay, Wendy S., Chand, Meera, Connor, Thomas, Loman, Nicholas J., Suchard, Marc A., Pybus, Oliver G., Rambaut, Andrew, Kraemer, Moritz U.G.“…Subsequently, increased levels of local population mixing, not the number of importations, was associated with faster relative growth of Delta. …”
Publicado 2021
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15“…We illustrate the usefulness of our inference framework in two different applications to empirical data sets: the selection dynamics on within-host HIV populations throughout infection and the seasonality of global influenza circulation. …”
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16por Trovão, Nídia Sequeira, Baele, Guy, Vrancken, Bram, Bielejec, Filip, Suchard, Marc A., Fargette, Denis, Lemey, Philippe“…Following a single long-distance transmission event from East to West Africa, separate viral populations have been maintained for about a century. …”
Publicado 2015
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17por McCrone, John T., Hill, Verity, Bajaj, Sumali, Pena, Rosario Evans, Lambert, Ben C., Inward, Rhys, Bhatt, Samir, Volz, Erik, Ruis, Christopher, Dellicour, Simon, Baele, Guy, Zarebski, Alexander E., Sadilek, Adam, Wu, Neo, Schneider, Aaron, Ji, Xiang, Raghwani, Jayna, Jackson, Ben, Colquhoun, Rachel, O’Toole, Áine, Peacock, Thomas P., Twohig, Kate, Thelwall, Simon, Dabrera, Gavin, Myers, Richard, Faria, Nuno R., Huber, Carmen, Bogoch, Isaac I., Khan, Kamran, du Plessis, Louis, Barrett, Jeffrey C., Aanensen, David M., Barclay, Wendy S., Chand, Meera, Connor, Thomas, Loman, Nicholas J., Suchard, Marc A., Pybus, Oliver G., Rambaut, Andrew, Kraemer, Moritz U. G.“…Subsequently, increased levels of local population mixing—and not the number of importations—were associated with the faster relative spread of Delta. …”
Publicado 2022
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18por Watson, Gregory L., Xiong, Di, Zhang, Lu, Zoller, Joseph A., Shamshoian, John, Sundin, Phillip, Bufford, Teresa, Rimoin, Anne W., Suchard, Marc A., Ramirez, Christina M.“…This predictive task is challenging due to the novelty of the virus, limited data, and dynamic political and societal responses. We embed a Bayesian time series model and a random forest algorithm within an epidemiological compartmental model for empirically grounded COVID-19 predictions. …”
Publicado 2021
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