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101“…This, in turn, is a particularly potent tool for quantifying causal interdependencies in time series, where the knowledge of “black swan” events, such as spikes or sudden jumps, are of key importance. …”
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102“…Although many firms are aggressively deploying diverse digital technologies (DTs) at inter- and intra-organizational levels, not all firms have achieved the anticipated resilience, especially in the face of supply chain disruptions caused by “black swan” events such as the COVID-19 pandemic. To demystify this phenomenon, we draw on the asset orchestration perspective to investigate how breadth (i.e., the scope) and depth (i.e., the scale) of DT deployment influence a firm's resilience to supply chain disruptions. …”
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103“…Here, for the first time, 16S rRNA gene sequencing was used to characterize and compare the community composition and diversity of gut microbiotas from six species of birds raised at the Wildlife Conservation Center in Baotou, China: relict gull (Larus relictus; n = 3), muscovy duck (Cairina moschata; n = 3), ruddy shelduck (Tadorna ferruginea; n = 3), demoiselle crane (Anthropoides virgo; n = 4), whooper swan (Cygnus cygnus; n = 3), and black swan (Cygnus atratus; n = 5). A total of 26,616 operational taxonomic units from 21 samples were classified into 32 phyla and 507 genera. …”
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104“…Despite the demonstration by previous research that the design of the built environment can affect mental health, it is not clear if the same influence pattern remains when a ‘black swan’ event (e.g., COVID-19) occurs. To this end, we performed logistic regression and hierarchical regression analyses to examine the relationship between built environment and mental health utilising a data sample from the United Kingdom (UK) residents during the COVID-19 lockdown while considering their social demographics. …”
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105“…It took the advent of SARS-CoV-2, a “black swan event”, to widely introduce telehealth, remote care, and virtual house calls. …”
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106“…Black swan events such as the coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak cause substantial supply chain disruption risks to modern companies. …”
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107“…Coronavirus-19 (COVID-19) is the black swan of 2020. Still, the human response to restrain the virus is also creating massive ripples through different systems, such as health, economy, education, and tourism. …”
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108por Schweitzer, Wolf, Ruder, Thomas, Baumeister, Rilana, Bolliger, Stephan, Thali, Michael, Meixner, Eva, Ampanozi, Garyfalia“…As this pandemic from the view of risk assessment does constitute a black swan, underestimated fat tails as technical reason should be addressed by also analyzing apparent extreme single observations. …”
Publicado 2020
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109“…Therefore, detailed research with a black swan scenario is necessary in this field. OBJECTIVE: The aim of the study was to create and validate a categorized and weighted model for the self-assessment of the resilience of critical infrastructure in German hospitals at different levels of care before the exemplary scenario of a prolonged supraregional power blackout. …”
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110por Ma, Liping, Jin, Tao, Wang, Hanzhong, Liu, Haizhou, Wang, Runkun, Li, Yong, Yang, Guoxiang, Xiong, Yanping, Chen, Jing, Zhang, Jun, Chen, Guang, Li, Wei, Liu, Di, Lin, Peng, Huang, Yueying, Gao, George F., Chen, Quanjiao“…In this study, we isolated and identified three H5N8 viruses from swan goose and black swans in Hubei province during the 2016/2017 winter season. …”
Publicado 2018
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111“…In addition, all other sectors should utilize appropriate methods of risk measurement and should take 'Black Swans' into account to incorporate a more accurate probability of unexpected events.…”
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112por Masys, Anthony“…Extreme events challenge our understanding regarding the interdependencies and complexity of the disaster aetiology and are often referred to as Black Swans. Between 2002 and 2011, there were 4130 disasters recorded that resulted from natural hazards around the world. …”
Publicado 2016
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113“…Considerable work has been conducted in recent years to develop frameworks to support the assessment, communication, management and governance of this type of risk, building on concepts like systemic risks, complexity theory, deep uncertainties, resilience engineering, adaptive management and black swans. Yet contemporary risk analysis struggles to provide authoritative societal guidance for adequately handling these types of risks, as clearly illustrated by the Coronavirus case. …”
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114“…The threat of catastrophic incidents—from nonroutine events to extreme ones, such as Dragon‐Kings (DK), Black Swans (BS), and Gray Swans—induces precautionary initiatives that, before the fact, may encounter public resistance or after the fact recriminations. …”
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115por Deng, Lei, Yao, Jing-Xin, Liu, Hai-Feng, Zhou, Zi-Yao, Chai, Yi-Jun, Wang, Wu-You, Zhong, Zhi-Jun, Deng, Jun-Liang, Ren, Zhi-Hua, Fu, Hua-Lin, Yan, Xia, Yue, Chan-Juan, Peng, Guang-Neng“…A total of 168 fecal specimens, including 81 from giant pandas, 23 from red pandas, 38 from black swans, 11 from ruddy shelducks, and 15 from green peafowl were collected at the Chengdu Research Base of Giant Panda Breeding in Sichuan province. …”
Publicado 2019
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116“…This is possible only in conditions of sustainability (in regards to a non-optimal system), when the environment is calm, and its negative impact is low. “Black swans” (according to N. Taleb) are bifurcation factors that break the sustainability of non-optimal system. …”
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