“…Our main results show that monetary policy may be used to correct asset mispricing, to control fluctuations in the real business cycle and also to tame credit cycles in the majority of cases. …”
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“…We find that quarterly gross domestic product (GDP) fluctuations have a negative impact on the annual IDM, indicating that the mortality of infectious diseases varies counter-cyclically with the business cycle in China. Specifically, IDM usually increases with deterioration in economic conditions, and vice versa. …”
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“…Uncertainty is pervasive. A business-cycle model calibrated to the consumers’ views provides an interpretation. …”
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“…Our textual analysis data also improve the forecasting accuracy of several other popular leading indicators for the US business cycle. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1057/s41308-022-00177-5.…”
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“…Hence, our paper establishes a remittance-channel through which the Fed affects the business cycle abroad.…”
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“…We also explore potential mechanisms for this asymmetry, and our evidence is pointing to national saving and the business cycle phase as the main reasons behind the divergent current account dynamic responses. …”
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“…Further, institutional labour market features moderated the impact of the business cycle. A higher share of temporary employment boosted employment for less educated persons, thus flattening the education gradient in unemployment, while a larger public sector somewhat protected more highly educated individuals against unemployment. …”
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“…The variation in the results among the examined countries is explained by potential differences in economic structures or business cycle and other social and economic factors. …”
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“…Such characteristics also promote the business cycle of the insurance industry. We analyze the changes in catastrophic insurer's capital structures under three cases of that the volume-based charges to the PCIS may come from equity holders or policyholders or both. …”
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“…Given the baseline New Keynesian model, we seek to find the expectation formation process that is most suitable in describing economic adjustments over the business cycle. In particular, impulse response analysis is used to compare the performances of the macroeconomic model under bounded rationality and under rational expectations. …”
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“…First, using a European dataset of country-level and regional internet searches, we document a substantial increase in people's business cycle related searches in the months following the coronavirus outbreak. …”
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“…RESULTS: We find that drinking over the business cycle is a function of individual socio-demographic status. …”
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“…The use of duration models allows us to investigate the following: (i) the probability of experiencing HG episodes, (ii) persistence in HG, and (iii) the determinants of the transitions in and out of the HG state and whether their impact varies over the business cycle. We find that about half of the firms experience at least one HG episode, but they seldom experience more than one. …”
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“…This paper intends to extend previous studies in this line by examining the relationship between trade openness and business cycle synchronization. It extends the scope of previous analyses in three areas. …”
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“…RESULTS: The COVID-19 vaccination, INFR, and CFR have a positive and significant influence on S&P 500 returns at the majority of business cycle frequencies with an in-phase relation. …”
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“…The review also finds that operational complexities during crises originate from network configurations and business cycle complexities, optimal selections and provisioning system complexes, and complex learning processes and demand predictions. …”
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“…Two recession-derivative indicators (RDIs) have been used extensively as forecast objects in business cycle prediction, viz. (1) the target variable takes value 1 if there is a recession starting exactly at a specific horizon in the future, and (2) the target variable takes value 1 if there is a recession starting any time over a specified period in the future. …”
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“…Then, we estimate this model to explore and compare both crises in the Mexican business cycle. The decomposition obtained with the model shows that: (i) the financial shocks were the main source of contraction of the output gap (around 49.0%) in the GFC; (ii) the dynamic of the GDP had been severely affected by the demand shock (around 45.1%), the financial shocks (32.2%), and the productivity shock (22.3%) in the COVID-19 pandemic. …”
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“…CONCLUSIONS: Cultural activities at work vary according to business cycle and have a statistical association with mental employee health, particularly with emotional exhaustion. …”
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“…Conclusions: The short-term mental health consequences of the business cycle seem to be more extensive than limited only to those who are unemployed, even though the possible long-term consequences seem to be more complex. …”
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