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The black swan: the impact of the highly improbable

A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor principal: Taleb, Nassim Nicholas
Lenguaje:eng
Publicado: Random House 2010
Materias:
Acceso en línea:http://cds.cern.ch/record/2285848