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Predicting Outcomes in a Sequence of Binary Events: Belief Updating and Gambler's Fallacy Reasoning
Beliefs like the Gambler's Fallacy and the Hot Hand have interested cognitive scientists, economists, and philosophers for centuries. We propose that these judgment patterns arise from the observer's mental models of the sequence‐generating mechanism, moderated by the strength of belief in...
| Autores principales: | , |
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| Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
| Lenguaje: | English |
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John Wiley and Sons Inc.
2023
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10078382/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36680427 http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/cogs.13211 |