Determining the Delamanid Pharmacokinetics/Pharmacodynamics Susceptibility Breakpoint Using Monte Carlo Experiments

Antimicrobial susceptibility testing, based on clinical breakpoints that incorporate pharmacokinetics/pharmacodynamics (PK/PD) and clinical outcomes, is becoming a new standard in guiding individual patient therapy as well as for drug resistance surveillance. However, for most antituberculosis drugs, breakpoints are instead defined by the epidemiological cutoff values of the MIC of phenotypically wild-type strains irrespective of PK/PD or dose. In this study, we determined the PK/PD breakpoint for delamanid by estimating the probability of target attainment for the approved dose administered at 100 mg twice daily using Monte Carlo experiments. We used the PK/PD targets (0- to 24-h area under the concentration-time curve to MIC) identified in a murine chronic tuberculosis model, hollow fiber system model of tuberculosis, early bactericidal activity studies of patients with drug-susceptible tuberculosis, and population pharmacokinetics in patients with tuberculosis. At the MIC of 0.016 mg/L, determined using Middlebrook 7H11 agar, the probability of target attainment was 100% in the 10,000 simulated subjects. The probability of target attainment fell to 25%, 40%, and 68% for PK/PD targets derived from the mouse model, the hollow fiber system model of tuberculosis, and patients, respectively, at the MIC of 0.031 mg/L. This indicates that an MIC of 0.016 mg/L is the delamanid PK/PD breakpoint for delamanid at 100 mg twice daily. Our study demonstrated that it is feasible to use PK/PD approaches to define a breakpoint for an antituberculosis drug.