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Predictive performance of multi-model ensemble forecasts of COVID-19 across European nations

BACKGROUND: Short-term forecasts of infectious disease burden can contribute to situational awareness and aid capacity planning. Based on best practice in other fields and recent insights in infectious disease epidemiology, one can maximise the predictive performance of such forecasts if multiple mo...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Sherratt, Katharine, Gruson, Hugo, Grah, Rok, Johnson, Helen, Niehus, Rene, Prasse, Bastian, Sandmann, Frank, Deuschel, Jannik, Wolffram, Daniel, Abbott, Sam, Ullrich, Alexander, Gibson, Graham, Ray, Evan L, Reich, Nicholas G, Sheldon, Daniel, Wang, Yijin, Wattanachit, Nutcha, Wang, Lijing, Trnka, Jan, Obozinski, Guillaume, Sun, Tao, Thanou, Dorina, Pottier, Loic, Krymova, Ekaterina, Meinke, Jan H, Barbarossa, Maria Vittoria, Leithauser, Neele, Mohring, Jan, Schneider, Johanna, Wlazlo, Jaroslaw, Fuhrmann, Jan, Lange, Berit, Rodiah, Isti, Baccam, Prasith, Gurung, Heidi, Stage, Steven, Suchoski, Bradley, Budzinski, Jozef, Walraven, Robert, Villanueva, Inmaculada, Tucek, Vit, Smid, Martin, Zajicek, Milan, Perez Alvarez, Cesar, Reina, Borja, Bosse, Nikos I, Meakin, Sophie R, Castro, Lauren, Fairchild, Geoffrey, Michaud, Isaac, Osthus, Dave, Alaimo Di Loro, Pierfrancesco, Maruotti, Antonello, Eclerova, Veronika, Kraus, Andrea, Kraus, David, Pribylova, Lenka, Dimitris, Bertsimas, Li, Michael Lingzhi, Saksham, Soni, Dehning, Jonas, Mohr, Sebastian, Priesemann, Viola, Redlarski, Grzegorz, Bejar, Benjamin, Ardenghi, Giovanni, Parolini, Nicola, Ziarelli, Giovanni, Bock, Wolfgang, Heyder, Stefan, Hotz, Thomas, Singh, David E, Guzman-Merino, Miguel, Aznarte, Jose L, Morina, David, Alonso, Sergio, Alvarez, Enric, Lopez, Daniel, Prats, Clara, Burgard, Jan Pablo, Rodloff, Arne, Zimmermann, Tom, Kuhlmann, Alexander, Zibert, Janez, Pennoni, Fulvia, Divino, Fabio, Catala, Marti, Lovison, Gianfranco, Giudici, Paolo, Tarantino, Barbara, Bartolucci, Francesco, Jona Lasinio, Giovanna, Mingione, Marco, Farcomeni, Alessio, Srivastava, Ajitesh, Montero-Manso, Pablo, Adiga, Aniruddha, Hurt, Benjamin, Lewis, Bryan, Marathe, Madhav, Porebski, Przemyslaw, Venkatramanan, Srinivasan, Bartczuk, Rafal P, Dreger, Filip, Gambin, Anna, Gogolewski, Krzysztof, Gruziel-Slomka, Magdalena, Krupa, Bartosz, Moszyński, Antoni, Niedzielewski, Karol, Nowosielski, Jedrzej, Radwan, Maciej, Rakowski, Franciszek, Semeniuk, Marcin, Szczurek, Ewa, Zielinski, Jakub, Kisielewski, Jan, Pabjan, Barbara, Holger, Kirsten, Kheifetz, Yuri, Scholz, Markus, Przemyslaw, Biecek, Bodych, Marcin, Filinski, Maciej, Idzikowski, Radoslaw, Krueger, Tyll, Ozanski, Tomasz, Bracher, Johannes, Funk, Sebastian
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: eLife Sciences Publications, Ltd 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10238088/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37083521
http://dx.doi.org/10.7554/eLife.81916