Targeted dosing for susceptible heteroresistant subpopulations may improve rational dosage regimen prediction for colistin in broiler chickens

The dosage of colistin for the treatment of enteric E. coli in animals necessitates considering the heteroresistant (HR) nature of the targeted inoculum, described by the presence of a major susceptible population (S1, representing 99.95% of total population) mixed with an initial minor subpopulation of less susceptible bacteria (S2). Herein, we report the 1-compartment population pharmacokinetics (PK) of colistin in chicken intestine (jejunum and ileum) and combined it with a previously established pharmacodynamic (PD) model of HR in E. coli. We then computed probabilities of target attainment (PTA) with a pharmacodynamic target (AUC(24h)/MIC) that achieves 50% of the maximal kill of bacterial populations (considering inoculums of pure S1, S2 or HR mixture of S1 + S2). For an MIC of 1 mg/L, PTA > 95% was achieved with the registered dose (75,000 IU/kg BW/day in drinking water) for the HR mixture of S1 + S2 E. coli, whether they harboured mcr or not. For an MIC of 2 mg/L (ECOFF), we predicted PTA > 90% against the dominant susceptible sub-population (S1) with this clinical dose given (i) over 24 h for mcr-negative isolates or (ii) over 6 h for mcr-positive isolates (pulse dosing). Colistin clinical breakpoint S ≤ 2 mg/L (EUCAST rules) should be confirmed clinically.