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Opinion Dynamics Explain Price Formation in Prediction Markets

Prediction markets are heralded as powerful forecasting tools, but models that describe them often fail to capture the full complexity of the underlying mechanisms that drive price dynamics. To address this issue, we propose a model in which agents belong to a social network, have an opinion about t...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Restocchi, Valerio, McGroarty, Frank, Gerding, Enrico, Brede, Markus
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: MDPI 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10453007/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37628182
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/e25081152