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People prefer to predict middle, most likely quantitative outcomes (not extreme ones), but they still over-estimate their likelihood
Past work showed a tendency to associate verbal probabilities (e.g., possible, unlikely) with extreme quantitative outcomes, and to over-estimate the outcomes’ probability of occurrence. In the first four experiments (Experiment 1, Experiments 2a–c), we tested whether this “extremity effect” reflect...
| Autores principales: | , , |
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| Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
| Lenguaje: | English |
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SAGE Publications
2023
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10585946/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36645086 http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/17470218231153394 |