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The vulnerability of aging states: A survival analysis across premodern societies

How states and great powers rise and fall is an intriguing enigma of human history. Are there any patterns? Do polities become more vulnerable over time as they age? We analyze longevity in hundreds of premodern states using survival analysis to help provide initial insights into these questions. Th...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Scheffer, Marten, van Nes, Egbert H., Kemp, Luke, Kohler, Timothy A., Lenton, Timothy M., Xu, Chi
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: National Academy of Sciences 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10691336/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37983501
http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2218834120