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Real-time forecasting of an epidemic using a discrete time stochastic model: a case study of pandemic influenza (H1N1-2009)
BACKGROUND: Real-time forecasting of epidemics, especially those based on a likelihood-based approach, is understudied. This study aimed to develop a simple method that can be used for the real-time epidemic forecasting. METHODS: A discrete time stochastic model, accounting for demographic stochasti...
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| Formato: | Texto |
| Lenguaje: | English |
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BioMed Central
2011
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| Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3045989/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21324153 http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/1475-925X-10-15 |