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Stochastic population forecasts based on conditional expert opinions
The paper develops and applies an expert-based stochastic population forecasting method, which can also be used to obtain a probabilistic version of scenario-based official forecasts. The full probability distribution of population forecasts is specified by starting from expert opinions on the futur...
| Autores principales: | , , |
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| Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
| Lenguaje: | English |
| Publicado: |
Blackwell Publishing Ltd
2012
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3412228/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22879704 http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-985X.2011.01015.x |