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Statistical Basis for Predicting Technological Progress

Forecasting technological progress is of great interest to engineers, policy makers, and private investors. Several models have been proposed for predicting technological improvement, but how well do these models perform? An early hypothesis made by Theodore Wright in 1936 is that cost decreases as...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Nagy, Béla, Farmer, J. Doyne, Bui, Quan M., Trancik, Jessika E.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Public Library of Science 2013
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3585312/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23468837
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0052669