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Estimating the Probability of a Major Outbreak from the Timing of Early Cases: An Indeterminate Problem?

Conservation biologists, as well as veterinary and public health officials, would benefit greatly from being able to forecast whether outbreaks of infectious disease will be major. For values of the basic reproductive number (R (0)) between one and two, infectious disease outbreaks have a reasonable...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Craft, Meggan E., Beyer, Hawthorne L., Haydon, Daniel T.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Public Library of Science 2013
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3590282/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23483934
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0057878