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The Application of the Grey Disaster Model to Forecast Epidemic Peaks of Typhoid and Paratyphoid Fever in China

OBJECTIVE: The objectives of this study were to forecast epidemic peaks of typhoid and paratyphoid fever in China using the grey disaster model, to evaluate its feasibility of predicting the epidemic tendency of notifiable diseases. METHODS: According to epidemiological features, the GM(1,1) model a...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Shen, Xuejun, Ou, Limin, Chen, Xiaojun, Zhang, Xin, Tan, Xuerui
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Public Library of Science 2013
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3614922/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23565260
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0060601