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The Application of the Grey Disaster Model to Forecast Epidemic Peaks of Typhoid and Paratyphoid Fever in China
OBJECTIVE: The objectives of this study were to forecast epidemic peaks of typhoid and paratyphoid fever in China using the grey disaster model, to evaluate its feasibility of predicting the epidemic tendency of notifiable diseases. METHODS: According to epidemiological features, the GM(1,1) model a...
| Autores principales: | , , , , |
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| Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
| Lenguaje: | English |
| Publicado: |
Public Library of Science
2013
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3614922/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23565260 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0060601 |