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Forecasting Peaks of Seasonal Influenza Epidemics

We present a framework for near real-time forecast of influenza epidemics using a simulation optimization approach. The method combines an individual-based model and a simple root finding optimization method for parameter estimation and forecasting. In this study, retrospective forecasts were genera...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Nsoesie, Elaine, Mararthe, Madhav, Brownstein, John
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Public Library of Science 2013
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3712489/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23873050
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/currents.outbreaks.bb1e879a23137022ea79a8c508b030bc