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How Robust Is the Optimistic Update Bias for Estimating Self-Risk and Population Base Rates?
Humans hold unrealistically optimistic predictions of what their future holds. These predictions are generated and maintained as people update their beliefs more readily when receiving information that calls for adjustment in an optimistic direction relative to information that calls for adjustment...
Autores principales: | , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Public Library of Science
2014
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Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4051586/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24914643 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0098848 |