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How Robust Is the Optimistic Update Bias for Estimating Self-Risk and Population Base Rates?

Humans hold unrealistically optimistic predictions of what their future holds. These predictions are generated and maintained as people update their beliefs more readily when receiving information that calls for adjustment in an optimistic direction relative to information that calls for adjustment...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Garrett, Neil, Sharot, Tali
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Public Library of Science 2014
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4051586/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24914643
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0098848