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Predictability in a highly stochastic system: final size of measles epidemics in small populations

A standard assumption in the modelling of epidemic dynamics is that the population of interest is well mixed, and that no clusters of metapopulations exist. The well-known and oft-used SIR model, arguably the most important compartmental model in theoretical epidemiology, assumes that the disease be...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Caudron, Q., Mahmud, A. S., Metcalf, C. J. E., Gottfreðsson, M., Viboud, C., Cliff, A. D., Grenfell, B. T.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: The Royal Society 2015
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4277111/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/25411411
http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2014.1125