Cargando…

Predictability in a highly stochastic system: final size of measles epidemics in small populations

A standard assumption in the modelling of epidemic dynamics is that the population of interest is well mixed, and that no clusters of metapopulations exist. The well-known and oft-used SIR model, arguably the most important compartmental model in theoretical epidemiology, assumes that the disease be...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales:	Caudron, Q., Mahmud, A. S., Metcalf, C. J. E., Gottfreðsson, M., Viboud, C., Cliff, A. D., Grenfell, B. T.
Formato:	Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:	English
Publicado:	The Royal Society 2015
Materias:	Research Articles
Acceso en línea:	https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4277111/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/25411411 http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2014.1125

Ejemplares similares

Characterizing the dynamics of rubella relative to measles: the role of stochasticity
por: Rozhnova, Ganna, et al.
Publicado: (2013)

Structure, space and size: competing drivers of variation in urban and rural measles transmission
por: Korevaar, Hannah, et al.
Publicado: (2020)

Impact on Epidemic Measles of Vaccination Campaigns Triggered by Disease Outbreaks or Serosurveys: A Modeling Study
por: Lessler, Justin, et al.
Publicado: (2016)

Persistent Chaos of Measles Epidemics in the Prevaccination United States Caused by a Small Change in Seasonal Transmission Patterns
por: Dalziel, Benjamin D., et al.
Publicado: (2016)

Persistence in Epidemic Metapopulations: Quantifying the Rescue Effects for Measles, Mumps, Rubella and Whooping Cough
por: Metcalf, C. Jessica E., et al.
Publicado: (2013)

Epidemic dynamics of respiratory syncytial virus in current and future climates
por: Baker, Rachel E., et al.
Publicado: (2019)

Demographic buffering: titrating the effects of birth rate and imperfect immunity on epidemic dynamics
por: Morris, Sinead E., et al.
Publicado: (2015)

Urbanization and humidity shape the intensity of influenza epidemics in U.S. cities
por: Dalziel, Benjamin D., et al.
Publicado: (2018)

Comparing and linking machine learning and semi-mechanistic models for the predictability of endemic measles dynamics
por: Lau, Max S. Y., et al.
Publicado: (2022)

Measles and the canonical path to elimination
por: Graham, Matthew, et al.
Publicado: (2019)

1227 Familiality of fatal measles infections in Iceland, 1882. Analysis of a reconstructed patient cohort from a major epidemic
por: Gottfredsson, Magnus, et al.
Publicado: (2014)

Epidemic Measles
Publicado: (1900)

The Final Size of a Serious Epidemic
por: Brauer, Fred
Publicado: (2018)

Using Serology to Anticipate Measles Post-honeymoon Period Outbreaks
por: Metcalf, C.J.E., et al.
Publicado: (2020)

The Recent Epidemic of Measles in Buffalo
por: Gram, F. C.
Publicado: (1900)

Stochastic Epidemics in Growing Populations
por: Britton, Tom, et al.
Publicado: (2014)

A Measles Epidemic Threshold in a Highly Vaccinated Population
por: Wallinga, Jacco, et al.
Publicado: (2005)

Modeling Measles Epidemics
Publicado: (2005)

The Lessons of the Measles Epidemic
Publicado: (1912)

Epidemic of Measles in Sunderland
Publicado: (1886)

Epidemic Measles in Assam
por: Manson, D.
Publicado: (1935)

On the Epidemic Measles of 1808
por: Ferguson,
Publicado: (1809)

Notes on an Epidemic of Measles
por: Stanbro, Frederick
Publicado: (1891)

Final Size for Epidemic Models with Asymptomatic Transmission
por: Barril, Carles, et al.
Publicado: (2023)

Dynamics Analysis of a Nonlinear Stochastic SEIR Epidemic System with Varying Population Size
por: Han, Xiaofeng, et al.
Publicado: (2018)

Using Serology with Models to Clarify the Trajectory of the SARS-CoV-2 Emerging Outbreak
por: Metcalf, C. Jessica E., et al.
Publicado: (2020)

Seasonality and the persistence and invasion of measles
por: Conlan, Andrew J.K, et al.
Publicado: (2007)

Transport networks and inequities in vaccination: remoteness shapes measles vaccine coverage and prospects for elimination across Africa
por: METCALF, C. J. E., et al.
Publicado: (2015)

The threshold of a deterministic and a stochastic SIQS epidemic model with varying total population size
por: Zhang, Xiao-Bing, et al.
Publicado: (2021)

Early Measles Epidemics in America
por: Caulfield, Ernest
Publicado: (1943)

Texas and Its Measles Epidemics
por: Hotez, Peter J.
Publicado: (2016)

On the Epidemic Measles of 1854 in Leith
por: Brown, John
Publicado: (1855)

On the Epidemic Measles of 1854 in Leith
por: Brown, John
Publicado: (1855)

Measles Epidemics, Major and Minor
por: Whitelegge, B. Arthur
Publicado: (1893)

Observations on the Measles and Small-Pox, That Prevailed Epidemically in Stranraer, in the Autumn of 1829
por: Orgill, J.
Publicado: (1831)

Stochastic population and epidemic models: persistence and extinction
por: Allen, Linda J S
Publicado: (2015)

The final size of a SARS epidemic model without quarantine
por: Hsu, Sze-Bi, et al.
Publicado: (2007)

The Final Size of an Epidemic and Its Relation to the Basic Reproduction Number
por: Andreasen, Viggo
Publicado: (2011)

Greek measles epidemic strain, 2005–2006
por: Gioula, G., et al.
Publicado: (2006)

Measles Epidemic in Pakistan: In Search of Solutions
por: Niazi, AK, et al.
Publicado: (2014)

Cannot write session to /tmp/vufind_sessions/sess_e8g0m4njko8krksd26138u6fhf