Using prediction markets of market scoring rule to forecast infectious diseases: a case study in Taiwan

BACKGROUND: The Taiwan CDC relied on the historical average number of disease cases or rate (AVG) to depict the trend of epidemic diseases in Taiwan. By comparing the historical average data with prediction markets, we show that the latter have a better prediction capability than the former. Given t...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Tung, Chen-yuan, Chou, Tzu-Chuan, Lin, Jih-wen
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: BioMed Central 2015
Materias:
Research Article
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4542101/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26259612
http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12889-015-2121-7

Internet

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4542101/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26259612
http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12889-015-2121-7

Ejemplares similares