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Using prediction markets of market scoring rule to forecast infectious diseases: a case study in Taiwan
BACKGROUND: The Taiwan CDC relied on the historical average number of disease cases or rate (AVG) to depict the trend of epidemic diseases in Taiwan. By comparing the historical average data with prediction markets, we show that the latter have a better prediction capability than the former. Given t...
| Autores principales: | , , |
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| Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
| Lenguaje: | English |
| Publicado: |
BioMed Central
2015
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| Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4542101/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26259612 http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12889-015-2121-7 |