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Bayesian Probabilistic Projection of International Migration
We propose a method for obtaining joint probabilistic projections of migration for all countries, broken down by age and sex. Joint trajectories for all countries are constrained to satisfy the requirement of zero global net migration. We evaluate our model using out-of-sample validation and compare...
| Autores principales: | , |
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| Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
| Lenguaje: | English |
| Publicado: |
Springer US
2015
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4605963/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26358699 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s13524-015-0415-0 |