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Bayesian Probabilistic Projection of International Migration

We propose a method for obtaining joint probabilistic projections of migration for all countries, broken down by age and sex. Joint trajectories for all countries are constrained to satisfy the requirement of zero global net migration. We evaluate our model using out-of-sample validation and compare...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales:	Azose, Jonathan J., Raftery, Adrian E.
Formato:	Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:	English
Publicado:	Springer US 2015
Materias:	Article
Acceso en línea:	https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4605963/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26358699 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s13524-015-0415-0

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