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Predictability of epidemic malaria under non-stationary conditions with process-based models combining epidemiological updates and climate variability

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have demonstrated the feasibility of early-warning systems for epidemic malaria informed by climate variability. Whereas modelling approaches typically assume stationary conditions, epidemiological systems are characterized by changes in intervention measures over time,...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Roy, Manojit, Bouma, Menno, Dhiman, Ramesh C., Pascual, Mercedes
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: BioMed Central 2015
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4623260/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26502881
http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12936-015-0937-3