Persistent Chaos of Measles Epidemics in the Prevaccination United States Caused by a Small Change in Seasonal Transmission Patterns

Epidemics of infectious diseases often occur in predictable limit cycles. Theory suggests these cycles can be disrupted by high amplitude seasonal fluctuations in transmission rates, resulting in deterministic chaos. However, persistent deterministic chaos has never been observed, in part because su...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Dalziel, Benjamin D., Bjørnstad, Ottar N., van Panhuis, Willem G., Burke, Donald S., Metcalf, C. Jessica E., Grenfell, Bryan T.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Public Library of Science 2016
Materias:
Research Article
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4741526/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26845437
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004655

Internet

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4741526/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26845437
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004655

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