Detecting Presymptomatic Infection Is Necessary to Forecast Major Epidemics in the Earliest Stages of Infectious Disease Outbreaks

We assess how presymptomatic infection affects predictability of infectious disease epidemics. We focus on whether or not a major outbreak (i.e. an epidemic that will go on to infect a large number of individuals) can be predicted reliably soon after initial cases of disease have appeared within a p...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Thompson, Robin N., Gilligan, Christopher A., Cunniffe, Nik J.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Public Library of Science 2016
Materias:
Research Article
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4821482/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/27046030
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004836

Internet

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4821482/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/27046030
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004836

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