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Detecting Presymptomatic Infection Is Necessary to Forecast Major Epidemics in the Earliest Stages of Infectious Disease Outbreaks
We assess how presymptomatic infection affects predictability of infectious disease epidemics. We focus on whether or not a major outbreak (i.e. an epidemic that will go on to infect a large number of individuals) can be predicted reliably soon after initial cases of disease have appeared within a p...
| Autores principales: | , , |
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| Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
| Lenguaje: | English |
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Public Library of Science
2016
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4821482/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/27046030 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004836 |