Cargando…

On the use of Bayesian decision theory for issuing natural hazard warnings

Warnings for natural hazards improve societal resilience and are a good example of decision-making under uncertainty. A warning system is only useful if well defined and thus understood by stakeholders. However, most operational warning systems are heuristic: not formally or transparently defined. B...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Economou, T., Stephenson, D. B., Rougier, J. C., Neal, R. A., Mylne, K. R.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: The Royal Society 2016
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5095440/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/27843399
http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rspa.2016.0295