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On the use of Bayesian decision theory for issuing natural hazard warnings
Warnings for natural hazards improve societal resilience and are a good example of decision-making under uncertainty. A warning system is only useful if well defined and thus understood by stakeholders. However, most operational warning systems are heuristic: not formally or transparently defined. B...
| Autores principales: | , , , , |
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| Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
| Lenguaje: | English |
| Publicado: |
The Royal Society
2016
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5095440/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/27843399 http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rspa.2016.0295 |