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Data-driven outbreak forecasting with a simple nonlinear growth model
Recent events have thrown the spotlight on infectious disease outbreak response. We developed a data-driven method, EpiGro, which can be applied to cumulative case reports to estimate the order of magnitude of the duration, peak and ultimate size of an ongoing outbreak. It is based on a surprisingly...
| Autores principales: | , |
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| Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
| Lenguaje: | English |
| Publicado: |
The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V.
2016
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5159251/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/27770752 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.epidem.2016.10.002 |