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Probabilistic mortality forecasting with varying age-specific survival improvements

Many mortality forecasting approaches extrapolate past trends. Their predictions of the future development can be quite precise as long as turning points and/or age-shifts of mortality decline are not present. To account even for such mortality dynamics, we propose a model that combines recently dev...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Bohk-Ewald, Christina, Rau, Roland
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer International Publishing 2017
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5233746/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28133393
http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s41118-016-0017-8