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Is it growing exponentially fast? – Impact of assuming exponential growth for characterizing and forecasting epidemics with initial near-exponential growth dynamics
The increasing use of mathematical models for epidemic forecasting has highlighted the importance of designing models that capture the baseline transmission characteristics in order to generate reliable epidemic forecasts. Improved models for epidemic forecasting could be achieved by identifying sig...
| Autores principales: | , |
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| Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
| Lenguaje: | English |
| Publicado: |
KeAi Publishing
2016
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| Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5373088/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28367536 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.idm.2016.07.004 |